辐射防护 ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 603-610.

• 辐射防护评价 • 上一篇    下一篇

气象扩散耦合模型对经典示踪试验ETEX-1的模拟分析

郭欢, 张俊芳, 李鸣野, 黄莎, 赵多新   

  1. 中国辐射防护研究院 核环境模拟与评价技术重点实验室,太原 030006
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-19 出版日期:2023-11-20 发布日期:2023-12-25
  • 作者简介:郭欢(1993—),女,2014年毕业于沈阳农业大学应用气象学专业,2017年毕业于南京信息工程大学气象学专业,获硕士学位,助理研究员。E-mail:guohuannq@163.com

Simulation analysis of classical tracing test ETEX-1 with meteorological diffusion coupling model

GUO Huan, ZHANG Junfang, LI Mingye, HUANG Sha, ZHAO Duoxin   

  1. China Institute for Radiation Protection, Key Laboratory of Simulation and Assessment Technology for Nuclear Environment,Taiyuan 030006
  • Received:2022-10-19 Online:2023-11-20 Published:2023-12-25

摘要: 将中尺度气象模型WRF和扩散模型FLEXPART-WRF相耦合,对经典欧洲长距离示踪试验(ETEX-1)的扩散过程进行数值模拟,同时结合示踪试验数据和MVK(Model Validation Kit)中的统计验证方法,将气象和扩散模拟结果分别与气象观测和浓度监测数据进行了对比分析。结果表明,气象风分量的模拟值与观测值相关系数平均为0.43,均方根误差平均为3.4 m/s;粒子扩散趋势与风场匹配程度较高,近地面过境浓度覆盖大部分监测站点;指标统计结果也表明,模拟与监测一致性较好,模拟结果能够有效反映当时的流场和扩散特征。气象扩散耦合模型可用于辅助评价核事故下气载放射性污染物扩散对环境的影响。

关键词: 扩散, 耦合模型, 示踪试验, 数值模拟

Abstract: The mesoscale meteorological model WRF and the diffusion model FLEXPART-WRF are coupled to numerically simulate the diffusion process of the classic European long-distance tracer test (ETEX-1). At the same time, the meteorological and diffusion simulation results are compared with the meteorological observation and concentration monitoring data collected respectively during the ETEX-1 test, in combination with the tracer test data and the statistical verification method in MVK (Model Validation Kit). The results show that the average correlation coefficient between the simulated and observed meteorological wind components is 0.43, and the average root mean square error is 3.4 m/s. The particle diffusion trend is highly matched with the wind field, and the near ground transit concentration covers most monitoring stations. The statistical results of indicators also show that the simulation and monitoring results are in good consistency, and the simulation results can effectively reflect the current flow field and diffusion characteristics. The meteorological diffusion coupling model can be used to assist in evaluating the impact of airborne radioactive pollutant diffusion on the environment under nuclear accidents.

Key words: diffusion, coupling model, tracer test, numerical simulation

中图分类号: 

  • X169